Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.001539 0.001599 0.001660 0.001728 0.001802 0.001879 0.001966
2025-07-27 0.001448 0.001535 0.001627 0.001734 0.001855 0.001989 0.002149
2025-08-03 0.001369 0.001472 0.001585 0.001721 0.001879 0.002062 0.002292
2025-08-10 0.001322 0.001439 0.001571 0.001732 0.001929 0.002163 0.002472
2025-08-17 0.001272 0.001398 0.001542 0.001723 0.001949 0.002228 0.002611
2025-08-24 0.001225 0.001357 0.001510 0.001706 0.001956 0.002273 0.002725
2025-08-31 0.001209 0.001351 0.001518 0.001737 0.002023 0.002399 0.002961
2025-09-07 0.001184 0.001331 0.001508 0.001743 0.002058 0.002484 0.003146
2025-09-14 0.001150 0.001300 0.001482 0.001726 0.002059 0.002520 0.003262
2025-09-21 0.001116 0.001267 0.001451 0.001702 0.002048 0.002537 0.003347
2025-09-28 0.001090 0.001242 0.001430 0.001688 0.002050 0.002573 0.003466
2025-10-05 0.001047 0.001195 0.001379 0.001632 0.001990 0.002510 0.003410
2025-10-12 0.001027 0.001176 0.001364 0.001626 0.002001 0.002558 0.003557
2025-10-19 0.001014 0.001167 0.001361 0.001635 0.002035 0.002645 0.003785
2025-10-26 0.000994 0.001148 0.001344 0.001624 0.002038 0.002683 0.003928
2025-11-02 0.000983 0.001141 0.001343 0.001636 0.002076 0.002778 0.004201
2025-11-09 0.000966 0.001125 0.001329 0.001628 0.002082 0.002823 0.004376
2025-11-16 0.000948 0.001106 0.001311 0.001612 0.002076 0.002844 0.004505
2025-11-23 0.000945 0.001108 0.001322 0.001640 0.002140 0.002994 0.004961
2025-11-30 0.000936 0.001100 0.001318 0.001646 0.002168 0.003084 0.005297
2025-12-07 0.000919 0.001083 0.001301 0.001630 0.002161 0.003104 0.005457
2025-12-14 0.000901 0.001063 0.001280 0.001608 0.002141 0.003099 0.005547
2025-12-21 0.000887 0.001049 0.001265 0.001596 0.002137 0.003123 0.005728